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ALL PUBLICATIONS


The Invisible Hand is a State Employee: A Chinese “National Team” that trades stocks
Professionals usually refer to the term “China’s National Team” when describing a group of state-linked institutions to trade exchange-traded funds that allows authorities to influence broad market segments quickly, reversibly, and with limited formal announcements. For instance, entities such as the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. is backed by the Ministry of Finance - who operates on a large enough scale to move markets but not enough to be opaque to preserve deniability an
Feb 34 min read


Australia: Financial Condition Outlook
This report assesses the global macro-financial environment and its implications for Australia’s financial stability, with a focus on non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), sovereign debt dynamics in advanced economies and banking sector funding resilience. Despite a rapid recovery in global risk sentiment following volatility in early 2025, underlying vulnerabilities persist, including elevated leverage and liquidity mismatches in parts of the global NBFI sector, rising so
Jan 221 min read


Fiscal uncertainty pushes Japan's 40-year bond yield to decades-high
Japan’s 40-year bond yields rose to 4%, the highest level since this bond was first issued in 2007. In fact, no Japanese government bond of any maturity has had such a high yield in over 30 years. This movement was due to concerns about a proposed sales tax cut on food, supported by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. In addition, the emergence of the Centrist Reform Alliance has further increased uncertainty by raising the risk of electoral competition leading to looser fiscal co
Jan 203 min read


Assessing the role of AI Ethics in Education on Sustainable Development & Institutional AI Policies
Abstract In today's globalised world, the prevalence of AI is a double-edge sword for education. On the one hand, it supports students in their learning and intrinsic ability improvement, while on the other hand, the potential of misuse and violation of academic integrity of using AI is considerable. In this scenario, determining the role of AI ethical awareness is crucial for successful education and sustainability. This essay argues how AI ethics could foster development vi
Jan 1610 min read


Australia Mining Industry Report: Navigating Normalisation
Australia’s mining industry remains a central pillar of the national economy. The sector contributes around 13–14% of nominal GDP, over 60% of total merchandise exports, and more than $450 billion in annual export earnings during the 2023-2025 period. The sector has transitioned from the extraordinary commodity price conditions of the early 2020s toward a more normalised operating environment, characterised by easing prices for energy transition minerals, resilient demand for
Jan 61 min read


Australia into 2026: The Current Policy Environment
Australia enters 2026 having achieved a rare post-pandemic soft landing, which could be attributed to flexible macroeconomic policy framework and strong institutional credibility. Despite a highly restrictive monetary stance through 2022–2024, the economy avoided recession and maintained positive growth supported by robust population growth. Real GDP expanded by around 2.1% year-on-year to September 2025, with full-year growth estimated at approximately 1.8%, outperforming ma
Jan 41 min read


Fundamentals: Who are the winners in QE?
Quantitative Easing (QE) is one of the largest monetary experiments in modern history. In the most basic terms, this specific...
Oct 3, 20254 min read


The nationalisation of Intel - socialism to protect capitalism
The Trump Administration is negotiating to buy a 10% stake in Intel Corp (Nasdaq: INTC) - in other words, a partial nationalisation of a...
Sep 21, 20254 min read


Fundamentals: Why do investors track the US dollar index, and what is it usually interpreted in conjunction with?
It is common knowledge that the USD is the world’s reserve currency, therefore its fluctuations often coincide with major shifts in global markets. While a weaker US dollar usually correlates with rising global liquidity and risk asset prices, this relationship is not purely causal, rather, it is mediated by monetary policies, credit cycles and investor behaviour. A weaker US dollar can stimulate global liquidity through several transmission mechanisms. When the dollar depr
Sep 16, 20254 min read


VAT on UK private school fees?
Author: Vu H. Ngoc The UK government announced the implication of VAT at the standard rate of 20% for private school fees from 1st...
Sep 12, 20256 min read


Quantitative Easing (QE) vs Yield Curve Control (YCC): Japanese case study
During the period named “the lost decade”, Japan experienced long-lasting deflation. Despite various monetary policies being implemented...
Aug 30, 20253 min read


Discussion: Angus Deaton’s “Rethinking My Economics”
Since the Cold War era, a widely popularised narrative is that a free, less regulated economy with high competition is ideal, such as in...
Aug 30, 20256 min read


Australia’s Virtual Water Export problem and Free Trade
Australia's geography is characterised by expansive arid regions in the continent’s interior, which constrain habitable and economically...
Aug 30, 20254 min read

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